BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 238 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (0-8) Overall: (1-9) Overall Strength =    8.73

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2022 Home    W    30.61  33  28    3 228 (  1-  9) Dean                   23.61    -18.61                      
  2 09/10/2022 Away    L     3.16   0  48    3 181 (  5-  5) Castleton              -3.84 *  -44.16                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    L * -16.02  10  56    3 225 (  1-  9) Worcester St          -23.02    -22.98                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    L *  11.60  13  38    3 214 (  3-  7) Mass Maritime           4.60    -29.60                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    L * -21.20   0  82    3 150 (  7-  4) Bridgewater St MA     -28.20 *  -53.80                      
  6 10/08/2022 Away    L *   6.09   0  47    3 173 (  5-  5) Framingham St          -0.91 *  -46.09                      
  7 10/15/2022 Home    L *  17.78   7  42    3 148 (  9-  2) Plymouth St            10.78 *  -45.78                      
  8 10/22/2022 Home    L *  14.38   0  49    3 106 (  9-  2) UMass-Dartmouth         7.39 *  -56.39                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    L *  31.48  21  41    3 169 (  7-  3) Western Conn St        24.48 *  -44.48                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    L *  -7.90   0  50    3 215 (  2-  8) Westfield St          -14.90 *  -35.10                      
      Averages               7.00   8.4 48.1

Best game:   31.48 = 20 point loss to Western Conn St
Worst game: -21.20 = 82 point loss to Bridgewater St MA
Team stdev:  17.98